speculation

nouns

a message expressing an opinion based on incomplete evidence
is derived from
a hypothesis that has been formed by speculating or conjecturing (usually with little hard evidence)
"speculations about the outcome of the election"; "he dismissed it as mere conjecture"
is derived from
an investment that is very risky but could yield great profits
"he knew the stock was a speculation when he bought it"
is derived from
continuous and profound contemplation or musing on a subject or series of subjects of a deep or abstruse nature
"the habit of meditation is the basis for all real knowledge"
is derived from